Support the IEET




The IEET is a 501(c)3 non-profit, tax-exempt organization registered in the State of Connecticut in the United States. Please give as you are able, and help support our work for a brighter future.



Search the IEET
Subscribe and Contribute to:


Technoprogressive? BioConservative? Huh?
Quick overview of biopolitical points of view




whats new at ieet

Convergent Risk, Social Futurism, and the Wave of Change (Part 2 of 2)

Beauty Is Skin-deep—But That’s Where Genetic Engineering Is Going Next

Convergent Risk, Social Futurism, and the Wave of Change (Part 1 of 2)

American Society for Engineering Education: Why Diversity is so Important

Why there is no mind/body problem

Why Solitary Confinement Is The Worst Kind Of Psychological Torture


ieet books

Virtually Human: The Promise—-and the Peril—-of Digital Immortality
Author
by Martine Rothblatt


comments

CygnusX1 on 'The Problem with the Trolley Problem, or why I avoid utilitarians near subways' (Jul 28, 2014)

instamatic on 'Beauty Is Skin-deep—But That’s Where Genetic Engineering Is Going Next' (Jul 27, 2014)

instamatic on 'Why We’ll Still Be Fighting About Religious Freedom 200 Years From Now!' (Jul 27, 2014)

contraterrine on 'Radcliffe-Richards on Sexual Inequality and Justice (Part Two)' (Jul 27, 2014)

contraterrine on 'The Sad Passing of a Positive Futurist' (Jul 27, 2014)

Rick Searle on 'The Problem with the Trolley Problem, or why I avoid utilitarians near subways' (Jul 27, 2014)

CygnusX1 on 'How do you explain consciousness?' (Jul 27, 2014)







Subscribe to IEET News Lists

Daily News Feed

Longevity Dividend List

Catastrophic Risks List

Biopolitics of Popular Culture List

Technoprogressive List

Trans-Spirit List



JET

Transhumanism and Marxism: Philosophical Connections

Sex Work, Technological Unemployment and the Basic Income Guarantee

Technological Unemployment but Still a Lot of Work…

Hottest Articles of the Last Month


Nanomedical Cognitive Enhancement
Jul 11, 2014
(5968) Hits
(0) Comments

Interview with Transhumanist Biohacker Rich Lee
Jul 8, 2014
(5774) Hits
(0) Comments

Virtually Sacred, by Robert Geraci – religion in World of Warcraft and Second Life
Jul 3, 2014
(4418) Hits
(0) Comments

How Should Humanity Steer the Future?
Jul 5, 2014
(3674) Hits
(18) Comments



Comment on this entry

2013-2063: trekking through the next 50 years


Dick Pelletier


Ethical Technology

August 27, 2013

Positive futurists believe we will see more progress during the next five decades than was experienced in the last 200 years. In The Singularity is Near, author Ray Kurzweil reveals how science will change the ways we live, work, and play. The following offers some of the incredible possibilities we can expect.


...

Complete entry


COMMENTS



Posted by Giulio Prisco  on  08/27  at  10:02 AM

Dick always sounds a bit too optimist to me, but that’s is the right spirit!

I imagine a similar timeline, but stretched two or three times.





Posted by Kris Notaro  on  08/27  at  03:17 PM

I love Dick’s article’s because they are stripped of politics and the like, and to be honest, I am a techno-optimist who thinks the future will bring with it cyborg gadgets (not made in human sweatshops, but by unconscious robots) the ability to upload information to ones brain so that we are all experts, even experts in what we teach our children: sharing. And sharing is what politics is really about smile





Posted by schopenbecq  on  08/27  at  05:23 PM

“By adjusting neurons, doctors can increase joy in marriages and friendships, and diminish hate in criminals. This new mind science has enhanced happiness levels, while lowering crime and violence worldwide.”

Am I the only one finds this somewhat disturbing?





Posted by Dick Pelletier  on  08/27  at  08:37 PM

  In their recent ground-breaking book, Enhancing Human Capacities, co-authors Julian Savulescu, Ruud ter Meulen, and Guy Kahane explore how society will benefit when we use technology to alter moods, boost memory, and increase intelligence levels; along with the ethical concerns these technologies raise.

  Kahane says scientists are discovering new behavior-altering procedures that make us more likeable, sociable; open to other people’s views; and will curb many of our desires for vengeance and violence.

  Drugs that affect our moral thinking and behavior already exist, but we tend not to think of them in that way. Prozac lowers aggression and bitterness, making people more agreeable. Oxytocin increases feelings of social bonding and empathy while reducing anxiety.

  Some question, though, whether society will want a pill that would make them morally better. Being more trusting, nicer, and less aggressive could make people more vulnerable to exploitation.

  However, proponents believe the benefits are too important to ignore. Pursuing these technologies holds great promise to curb crime and violence throughout the world, improve personal and career relationships, and raise happiness levels everywhere.





Posted by dobermanmac  on  08/28  at  01:59 AM

I personally think that the major game changer will be either enhanced human minds (either through mechanical/chemical enhancement, improved social networking, or genetic improvement), or smarter than human AI.

The Law of Accelerating Returns goes on steroids when we get enhanced intelligence (which may very well think of a way to further enhance intelligence).  By the way, this is slowly happening now, but you can expect to see it vastly increase in the next decade or two, throwing off the entire above timeline (as is fitting for the concept of the Singularity).





Posted by DrJohnty  on  08/28  at  09:25 AM

A lot of interesting comments and after making my own study regarding exponential growth I tend to agree 100% with Ray Kurzweil and feel it is not a case of if we make the types of progress Ray refers to but how quickly and my feeling is that based on the ever accelerating rate of progress he is very likely not far out on his estimates. I find it odd how even though I am sure everyone here understands the difference between linear and exponential even I personally find it hard not to think in a linear fashion. I think the interesting thing to me was that when I compiled a list of breakthroughs a couple of years back at http://drjohnty.com/Exponential_Growth.html I found it hard not to consider the degree of progress in the 20th century as having a bearing as far as the degree of progress on the 21st century and clearly that is not the case based on the first thirteen years and the vast rate of progress.





Posted by hankpellissier  on  08/28  at  12:47 PM

I rather agree with dobermanmac - I see a Human Brain Power explosion coming soon, a bio-intelligence Singularity.

China is investing $250 billion per year in higher education
http://www.nytimes.com/2013/01/17/business/chinas-ambitious-goal-for-boom-in-college-graduates.html?pagewanted=all&_r=0

a large percentile of their massive graduate and PhD population will be engineers, with entrepreneurial training. Innovation will accelerate.






Add your comment here:


Name:

Email:

Location:

Remember my personal information

Notify me of follow-up comments?

HOME | ABOUT | FELLOWS | STAFF | EVENTS | SUPPORT  | CONTACT US
SECURING THE FUTURE | LONGER HEALTHIER LIFE | RIGHTS OF THE PERSON | ENVISIONING THE FUTURE
CYBORG BUDDHA PROJECT | AFRICAN FUTURES PROJECT | JOURNAL OF EVOLUTION AND TECHNOLOGY

RSSIEET Blog | email list | newsletter |
The IEET is a 501(c)3 non-profit, tax-exempt organization registered in the State of Connecticut in the United States.

Contact: Executive Director, Dr. James J. Hughes,
Williams 119, Trinity College, 300 Summit St., Hartford CT 06106 USA 
Email: director @ ieet.org     phone: 860-297-2376