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IEET > Security > Eco-gov > Vision > Futurism > Technoprogressivism > Fellows > Jamais Cascio

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Wakefulness, Storms and Urban Agriculture


Jamais Cascio

Jamais Cascio


Open the Future


Posted: Jul 24, 2008

Vertical farms finally make the move from cybergreen fantasy to the pages of the New York Times. The logic is seductive: urban towers, filled not with more offices and apartments, but with food crops.

Dr. Despommier estimates that it would cost $20 million to $30 million to make a prototype of a vertical farm, but hundreds of millions to build one of the 30-story towers that he suggests could feed 50,000 people. “I’m viewed as kind of an outlier because it’s kind of a crazy idea,” Dr. Despommier, 68, said with a chuckle. “You’d think these are mythological creatures.” [...]


vue_nocturne.png

“If I were to set myself as a certifier of vertical farms, I would begin with security,” he said. “How do you keep insects and bacteria from invading your crops?” He says growing food in climate-controlled skyscrapers would also protect against hail and other weather-related hazards, ensuring a higher quality food supply for a city, without pesticides or chemical fertilizers.

Vertical farms offer a nice way of sidestepping a big urban density problem (that is, how does a city feed itself without relying on hundreds of square miles of farmland?), and have the (to me) right balance of futurosity and plausibility.

It occurs to me, though, that a variant of the vertical farms might work well for the hollowed-out suburbs, too: how much would it cost to convert a McMansion to allow it to grow food?

• Viva, Provigil!: Are people still going on about doping in sports? That’s so last year. The big new panic-trigger is doping in the workplace—not with steroids, but with cognitive-modification drugs. Tech Crunch, as close to a bellwether of Silicon Valley angst as you can get, lets us know that entrepreneurs have come to find drugs like modafinil (sold under the brand name Provigil) can give them a professional edge. The tone is that of condemnation, of course, but at the same time implicitly letting it be known that everybody’s doing it, and if you’re not, you’re probably falling behind.

We’re seeing the same thing happen with Adderal and Ritalin in high school and college, apparently, and I wouldn’t be shocked to see that practice carry over more and more into the professional world.

But here’s where this all gets tricky for me: I have a prescription for Provigil, as it is legally available for dealing with “shift work sleep disorder,” which includes jet lag. And it works, at least for me. I’ve gone as long as nearly 40 hours without sleep while traveling internationally, in meetings where I had to be able to perform at a decent level. No dozing off, no weird hallucinations from lack of sleep, just mental clarity and alertness. Provigil wears off after about six hours, and doesn’t interfere with normal sleep. Go me.

This isn’t meant as an endorsement, only an observation that (a) yes, these kinds of cognitive modification drugs are in the workplace already, and (b) it’s a lot more complex than a simple “doping is illegal and/or bad!”

atlantic-hurricane072108.png

• Uh Oh: Chris Mooney, author of (among others) Storm World, notes that the early days of the 2008 Atlantic hurricane season is looking a lot more like the deadly 2005 season than the comparatively mild 2006 and 2007 seasons.

In particular, the finally dissipated Hurricane Bertha set all manner of records, most of them associated with longevity and strength so early in the season. That includes becoming the longest lived Atlantic hurricane ever recorded in July, and the third strongest ever recorded in that month (and sixth strongest overall among pre-August hurricanes).

And now we’re looking at a likely Hurricane Dolly, which will get the chance to churn over the extremely warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico before making landfall somewhere (presumably) along the Mexico or Texas Gulf coast.

Meanwhile, the National Hurricane Center has just begun to track a strong tropical wave--much like the precursor to Bertha--that is emerging off of the African Coast. The strongest Atlantic hurricanes, dubbed Cape Verde-type storms, generally form from such waves--and generally do so later in the season. But that’s not the case in 2008.

The National Hurricane Center is your best bet for rapidly-updated information on the status of Atlantic and Pacific storms near North America. They have RSS feeds for all of their reports, and ScienceNewsBlog pushes NHC alerts out via Twitter.

• Got a Spare $60 Million?: My old WorldChanging colleague, Vinay Gupta, has a post on his “Bucky-Gandhi Design Institution” blog entitled ”How to fix the developing world for sixty million dollars,” and it makes for fascinating reading. It’s a lengthy argument, but it boils down to this:

So, here’s what I’m going to spend your notional sixty mil on: television programs for farmers and people who live in slums. I’m going to blow the whole lot on making 200 hours of science telly, and giving them away. [...]

But the bulk of this science telly for farmers is the basics of what you need to thrive in the developing world, in four major categories

  • how to grow more food?
  • how to stay alive? (water, sanitation, basic medicine)

  • what is happening in the rest of the world? (physical and economic geography, including things like futures markets)
  • what is happening here? (where did television come from? what’s a computer? what’s an antibiotic? what’s science? why did things start to change, what does it mean, and where will it end?)

  • What I love about Vinay’s proposal is that it’s not just the “teach a person to fish” school of changing the world—it goes to the level of “teach a person about ecosystems, nutrition and tools, so that if fishing doesn’t work out, they’ll be able to figure out what to do as an alternative.” Yeah, it’s more complex, but the near-term stuff is also there—but Vinay doesn’t just leave it there.

    Good reading, and good work, sir.


    Jamais Cascio is a fellow of the IEET, and a professional futurist. He writes the popular blog Open the Future.

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    COMMENTS


    "how much would it cost to convert a McMansion to allow it to grow food?"

    I was wondering this myself, I think it'd be less than you might imagine.

    For example: http://www.valcent.net/s/HDVGS.asp?ReportID=264273



    A growing corps of sub-acre farmers are already converting backyard plots to commercial farms by practicing SPIN Farming. SPIN makes it possible to earn $50,000+ from a half acre. SPIN farmers utilize relay cropping to increase yield and achieve good economic returns by growing only the most profitable food crops tailored to local markets. SPIN's growing techniques are not, in themselves, breakthrough. What is novel is the way a SPIN farm business is run. SPIN provides everything you'd expect from a good franchise: a business plan, marketing advice, and a detailed day-to-day workflow. In standardizing the system and creating a reproducible process it really isn't any different from McDonalds. By offering a non-technical, easy-to-understand and inexpensive-to-implement farming system, it allows many more people to farm, wherever they live, as long as there are nearby markets to support them, and it removes the two big barriers to entry – sizeable acreage and significant start-up capital. You can see some of these entrepreneurial backyard farmers in action at www.spinfarming.com



    Now to address the one weak spot of mega-level agriculture, ability to acquire solar energy to grow the crops.

    If a single group solar satellites were (and similar to GPS satellites were to always have one satellite in line of sight to the ag structure) to beam the entire energy collected to maintain 24/7/365 energy to be reconstituted to the specific needs of each area of the structure then one would have a truly "green" bioproducts megalopolis.

    I would initially site these structures in the least productive areas of the planet, deserts and the arctic so as to dispell biosecurity, terrorist and eco-freaks as well as mainstream agriculture which may feel threatened by such a development.

    Morris Johnson, aka extropian.pharmer@gmail.com
    701-240-9411; 306-447-4944
    SW34-01-16-W2nd meridian



    Conversion from 1D farming (and high energy cost global raw material distribution) to 3D integrated food-fuel/pharma Bioproduction factories (CW-local energy grid node interconnects) powered by a solar satellite grid rationalizes energy use. Q- How do I explain that to Saskatchewan farmers who scratch their livings from 70K2 acres of marginal dirt???Start in high density places like china and work backwards???This could make building a solar power sat grid viable though



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