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IEET > Security > Vision > Futurism > J. Hughes

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Millennial Tendencies in Responses to Apocalyptic Threats


J. Hughes

J. Hughes


in Global Catastrophic Risks eds. Nick Bostrom and Milan M. Cirkovic. Oxford University Press. 2008. pgs 72-89


Posted: Apr 14, 2008

Abstract: Popular discussion of utopian possibilities and apocalyptic risks from new technologies is sometimes dismissed as ungrounded millennial hysteria. In this essay I reflect on the various types of historic, pancultural millennialism. I then suggest how contemporary forms of secular techno-utopian and techno-apocalyptic discourse reflect these millennialist types and their characteristic biases to over- or under-estimate catastrophic risks, and adopt fatalistic or inappropriate stances toward risk reduction. Then I suggest that awareness of these characteristic millennialist cognitive biases help us separate grounded assessments of catastrophic risks from their attendant psycho-cultural baggage. By carefully parsing our hopes and fears about the future from the characteristic dysfunctions of millennialism we can tap millennialism’s energy without being led astray by it. (Download the PDF)


James Hughes Ph.D., the IEET Executive Director, is a bioethicist and sociologist at Trinity College in Hartford Connecticut USA. He is author of Citizen Cyborg and is working on a second book tentatively titled Cyborg Buddha. He produces a syndicated weekly radio program, Changesurfer Radio.

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COMMENTS

Thanks for posting this, James. I particularly enjoyed the analysis in the last section, and agree with the four risks (in two dimensions) you identified.

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