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MULTIMEDIA: Milan Ćirković Topics ‪Evolutionary Contingency and the Search for Life Elsewhere‬


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Milan Ćirković Topics
Vision > Galactic > Directors > George Dvorsky > Fellows > Milan Ćirković > Futurism
George Dvorsky
Dysonian Approach to SETI: A Fruitful Middle Ground by George Dvorsky

(by Robert Bradbury, IEET Fellow Milan Cirkovic, and IEET Board Chair George Dvorsky)  We critically assess the prevailing currents in the Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence (SETI), embodied in the notion of radio-searches for intentional artificial signals as envisioned by pioneers such as Frank Drake, Philip Morrison, Michael Papagiannis and others. In particular, we emphasize (1) the necessity of integrating SETI into a wider astrobiological and future studies context, (2) the relevance of and lessons to be learnt from the anti...

GlobalDemocracySecurity > Directors > Fellows > Milan Ćirković > Nick Bostrom > SpaceThreats > Biosecurity > Cyber > Eco-gov > Military > SciTech > Resilience
Milan Cirkovic
Anthropic Shadow: Observation Selection Effects and Human Extinction Risks by Milan Cirkovic

(by Milan M Cirković, Anders Sandberg and Nick Bostrom)  We describe a significant practical consequence of taking anthropic biases into account in deriving predictions for rare stochastic catastrophic events. The risks associated with catastrophes such as asteroidal/cometary impacts, supervolcanic episodes, and explosions of supernovae/gamma-ray bursts are based on their observed frequencies. As a result, the frequencies of catastrophes that destroy or are otherwise incompatible with the existence of observers are systematically un...

GlobalDemocracySecurity > Vision > Directors > Staff > Fellows > Milan Ćirković > Contributors > Mike Treder > Nick Bostrom > Futurism > Biosecurity > Cyber > Eco-gov > Military > SciTech
Mike Treder
American Spectator reviews Catastrophic Risks by Mike Treder

“The world will someday end with fire or ice, but we await clarification as to the proximate causes. The menu of looming catastrophes is a long one, growing with our advancing knowledge of the universe and powers of self-immolation.”

GlobalDemocracySecurity > Vision > Bioculture > Fellows > Milan Ćirković > Futurism
Milan Ćirković
Sailing the Archipelago by Milan Ćirković

We live on a small island. We have not yet ventured much beyond our immediate locale on this small island; even our own inconspicuous location still holds great mysteries for us. It seems that we find ourselves near the mountain peak on our island, but even that is uncertain. Only recently we have discovered that there are other islands besides our home scattered in a vast (possibly infinite) ocean. And the ocean is dead. It is not just devoid of fishes, algae or anything similar – it is empty of any conceivable form of life, it epitom...

GlobalDemocracySecurity > Vision > Directors > Fellows > Milan Ćirković > Nick Bostrom > Futurism
Nick and Milan on anthropic principle in new collection

Nick Bostrom and Milan Cirkovic will each have an essay in the forthcoming collection Collapse Volume V: The Copernican Imperative, to be published on 15 December 2008

GlobalDemocracySecurity > Vision > Fellows > Milan Ćirković > Futurism > SpaceThreats > Biosecurity > Cyber > Eco-gov > Military > SciTech > Resilience
Milan Ćirković
How can we reduce the risk of human extinction? by Milan Ćirković

with co-authors Anders Sandberg and Jason G. Matheny

In the early morning of September 10, the Large Hadron Collider will be tested for the first time amid concern that the device could create a blackhole that will destroy the Earth. If you’re reading this afterwards, the Earth survived. Still, the event provides an opportunity to reflect on the possibility of human extinction. Since 1947, the Bulletin has maintained the Doomsday Clock, which “conveys how close humanity is to catastrophic destruction—the figurative ...

GlobalDemocracySecurity > Directors > Fellows > Milan Ćirković > Mike Treder > Nick Bostrom > J. Hughes > Biosecurity > Cyber > Eco-gov > Military > SciTech
Some Pics from the Catastrophic Risk Conference at Oxford

I’m just recovering from the great time we had in Oxford last week talking about the different ways that human civilization might get wiped out, and what to do to prevent that.

Rights > HealthLongevity > Vision > Fellows > Milan Ćirković > Russell Blackford
Latest issue of JET

JET editor Russell Blackford writes: We have now completed the current issue of the Journal of Evolution and Technology - Volume 17 Issue 1. Rounding it out is an in-depth review by new IEET Fellow Milan Cirkovic of Ian McDonald’s novel Brasyl. Other books reviewed include

GlobalDemocracySecurity > Vision > Fellows > Milan Ćirković > Futurism
Milan Ćirković
Against the Empire by Milan Ćirković

It is argued that the “generic” evolutionary pathway of advanced technological civilizations is more likely to be optimization-driven than expansion-driven, in contrast to the prevailing opinions and attitudes in both future studies on one side and astrobiology/SETI studies on the other. Two toy-models of postbiological evolution of advanced technological civilizations are considered and several arguments supporting the optimization-driven, spatially compact model are briefly discussed. In addition, it is pointed out that there i...

GlobalDemocracySecurity > Fellows > Milan Ćirković > Contributors
Milan Ćirković
None Dare Call Them Catastrophes: Why We Underestimate Apocalypse by Milan Ćirković

It is strangely underappreciated that when it comes to global catastrophic or existential risks the future cannot resemble the past.