How long until human-level AI?

First, I want to point out that the common consensus thirty years ago was that a computer would never beat the best human.  WRONG.

Second,  I would like to point out that the experts surveyed almost certainly have zero knowledge of top secret government AI programs.

Third, various definitions exist for AI.  The one I prefer is that human-level AI means a computer that excels beyond human ability - which means AI already exists for many areas of human ability (like chess).

Finally, I have found that even people who are familiar with AI and advanced program techniques are “homo-centric” and are bias against computer based superiority.  In fact, I have found experts generally are bias against “other expert” superiority.  Therefore, until an AI (or other experts) is demonstrably eating their lunch, experts will generally exhibit skepticism toward anything that challenges their superiority.

Life is about pain, and Living is how we manage the Pain, i mean Amnesia and Memory. We select, We are an Ethic being. Our body send us a mass of messages superior to our interpretation and we have to Select every nanosecond what we perceive “what we prefere to feel or to know”.
We would die in agony if we could accept every single “pain messages from ours single cells”.
Maybe a full human-mind will be possible to re-create in 10 years (like Kurzweil asserts) but not a full human artificial brain. There is a big difference from Mind and Human Intellingence and a “Simple Sentient (Human or not) Algorythm”. This is my humble opinion. Marzio.

The above comment does not pass the Turing test.