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IEET > Rights > FreeThought > Personhood > Economic > Basic Income > Life > Access > Enablement > Vision > Futurism > Contributors > Khannea Suntzu

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Basic Income is certain, but ‘they’ will wait as long as they can to implement it.


Khannea Suntzu
By Khannea Suntzu
KHANNEA SUNTZU

Posted: Jan 29, 2016

Looking at the barrage of news on technological unemployment, we may get lucky and avoid the predictable denialism phase altogether. A lot of time gets wasted on denying things that are inescapable. We may get lucky, as in “we might avoid a massively disfunctional dystopian future full of mass-poverty and the consequences thereof“.

Technological unemployment, especially in the next 2-4 decades, is set to be a nightmare, in terms of making a lot of people extremely unhappy and anxious and as I see it (and from my personal experiences with my Basic Income) but at least with a workable solution, – Basic Income, we might not suffer a collapse of modernity, democracy, civilization, that sort of thing. Yes, Basic Income is now functionally a certainty. It may not yet be widely discussed by our current governments. but they know damn sure that this future is electorally inescapable.

Given enough unemployable people, given sufficiently depressed markets and product demand, Maybe consumers/voters might not be capable of exerting sufficient push to implement new laws, but before long a lot of consumer goods companies will start pushing their bought government representatives that they want consumers to be able to buy their junk (and banks might get nervous about the real possibility of massive mortgage defaults and a hard downward deflation in the globally bloated real-estate bubble).

Dredd: Okay, rookie. What do you know about Peach Trees?
Rookie: It has the highest crime rate in Sector 1 3. Unemployment rate of 96%.
…and more than half the residential levels here are classed as slums.
Dredd, 2012

 

Without something very closely resembling a humane, non-means-tested basic income. That means – enough to buy decent food, rent a decent home, go to a movie once or twice a month, get all rational insurances, have internet, get water and energy and buy a new sweater occasionally. Yanno, more than welfare.

But even if a coalition of voters, progressive humanist parties, churches, unions, companies manufacturing consumer goods somehow convince politicians tomorrow a basic income is a genius inescapable idea, politicians will be pulling out their hair to decide a massive amount of really complex questions. Here’s a few;
(do know any more for this list, let me know)

     
  • Would a basic income in a political union such as the EU have to be implemented in all member states, and if so should it be different per country, region or for people living in a city, vis-a-vis the countryside?
  •  
  • What if some societies and governments degrade and start using basic income in sinister and fascist tool for conformity?
  •  
  • Do disabled, 65+, children (etc) get a similar BI than people who are young, healthy and highly educated?
  •  
  • Do we give women of birthing age a higher basic income? If so, how about women of Transgender origin?
  •  
  • Do we allow politicians to leverage a lower/higher basic income to incentivize “societally desirable” behavior? (not smoking, not having children, having children, making your children have inoculations, religion, sexual abstinence, conservative heterosexual values, not playing WoW, not eating junk food (or, conversely – eating corporation produced foods because of lobbyists, etc., etc.)
  •  
  • If someone goes through an enormous effort to live a low consumerist, sustainable lifestyle in some desert commune, do we penalize such a person by giving them a lower basic income? Or do we reward being plugged into a grid people don’t want? What about conscientious objectors who refuse a basic income, and let the money accumulate in a bank account?
  •  
  • Do you give immigrants and refugees a basic income (as high as voters), with the risk this will attract a mass influx of even more immigrants and refugees? What if you don’t and they come anyway, infusing society with extremely integration recalcitrant, desperate, hateful and dead-poor ghetto’s?
  •  
  • Does someone who has lived all her life in the city of Londen receive a higher BI than someone living in East Cambridgeshire?
  •  
  • Do ten people living in a commune each get the same income as someone living alone in an expensive house in the city?
  •  
  • How to we avoid large numbers of people to “secede” from orderly society?
  •  
  • How do we avoid alcoholism, drug abuse, unhealthy lifestyles?
  •  
  • How do we avoid people moving massively when they receive a basic income?
  •  
  • Do we keep rent control, health care insurance subsidies, child support, food stamps (et.al.) intact if people get a basic income?
  •  
  • If someone spends their entire basic income the day they get it do we save them from starving – or do we place loads and loads of irresponsible people on day one on some form of protective custody?
  •  
  • Does a person in a long-term coma receive a basic income, or does the person caring for that individual receive a basic income?
  •  
  • Can (part of) a basic income be garnered by debt collectors, and if not, do we allow prisons to take the basic income of their inmates? Why? Why not?
  •  
  • Can a country with large state debts decide (or be compelling by, say, the WTA) to low a basic income, even if that basic income is voted a constitutional right – even if that basic income is already too low to live off? (say, Greece, most developing nations)
  •  
  • What do you do if Basic Income, once implemented, triggers mass-inflation and sharply increased costs of living? Do you keep increasing it?
  •  
  • … and the zillion euro question – what if competing states (Say, Russia, China, the US under a Trump p;residency) decide to let their people starve rather than give them a Basic Income?

I can go on and on. Remember, a whole lot of viciously conservative, protestant, fiscalist fundamentalists, economists, libertarians, the Koch brothers, people benefiting from massive low-wage industries and desperate force labour, racists who won’t stand seeing dark-skinned people people receiving a basic income, social darwinists and Ayn Rand aficionado’s will be dead set against the mass implementation of a Basic Income, no matter the necessity or sound arguments. Also, quite a lot of established and left-wing lifetime career politicians might (perversely?) be staunch adversaries of a basic income. Most socialist parties and unions worldwide don’t like basic a basic income, at all. It would reduce voter need for their services as defenders of the lower classes. Or worse – a lot of government bureaucrats might already be smelling the imminent consequences of implementing a basic income – a society with a basic income needs a lot less bureaucratsA civil servant glued to his or her seat would be terrified of a basic income.

I am ideologically very progressive, a socialist-libertarian, a materialist atheist, a futurist and a transhumanist. I look at the future with a decades of experience in the field and I know that a basic income is pretty much inescapable. But that doesn’t mean the battle won’t be very hard, or that we might not have decades of dystopian, post-middle class squalor, mass nativistfar right populist, with an extremely disparate society ahead of us. But I say with quite a bit of sincerity basic income is inescapable, simply because in the end it will prove cheaper than any sensible alternative. Giving people free stuff saves a lot on overhead, despite of what a lot of older voters might argue.

The question now is how long it will take, and that’s largely the prerogative of politician mandarins. They get to decide it. That means that politicians have a significant incentive to hold out “just a little longer” in actually implementing a basic income. The longer they wait, the longer they leave the mass unemployable “precariat” in the cold, the longer they will be stuck having to institutionalize something they will never be able to un-implement. Once you implement a basic income, very quickly it will be regarded as a human right, be “constitutionalized” and be utterly irreversible. People fight tooth and nail to defend rights that have been “achieved”, and rightly so.

There will one day be a future where this current perverse, insider system will be dismantled. We’ll dismantle the “perverse incentive” banking sector, bailouts, the revolving door, the bloated Big State and when we do, we will see a society where money is not created as a fiat instrument of politicians nationalist hobbies, but rather money is created with voters. That’s right – being a person, being a citizen, being a voter and being a human being will be quintessentially equated with a humane, non-means-tested basic income guarantee. Corporations won’t cozy up to banks that print money out of thin air – no things will be as they are supposed to be – corporations will trip over themselves to satisfy consumers to make money.

When? The longer politicians play “hard to get”, the worse conditions in our society will deteriorate. If we get lucky, it will be 2025 but I am not betting on it. If the process proceeds sluggish (more likely) it will take till 2050. But not much later and not much longer. Quote me if I am still alive by then.

 


Khannea Suntzu describes herself as cosmist, cosmicist, upwinger, socialist-libertarian, hedonist and abolitionist. Khannea is a woman of transgender origin, and currently lives in the Netherlands.
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COMMENTS


Will people get their BI if they don’t vote?  I think voting in elections as needed should be a requirement in order to receive a BI.





I think you are underestimating the massive forces that will be brought to bear by the new “Elites” of the Economy of Abundance, Khani dear.

As I have pointed out repeatedly, this is not a “War” between “the people” and “corporations.”

It’s a war of economic systems, one that is completely, laughably, ridiculously onesided in favor of the new economy of abundance.

There are no “lucky breaks.” BIG is going to occur because the economy of abundance is going to render the economy of scarcity not merely obsolete, but anathema.  The current elite are already doing all that they can to hasten their own end, though they are fooling themselves with the desperate belief that tyranny can save them.

I seriously doubt it will take longer than 2030 before the “Old Guard” has been completely eviscerated and bankrupted. And their push for tyranny in an effort to delay that day of reckoning is only going to make it happen faster.

History shows that massive change doesn’t occur over long spans of time. It happens in the blink of a eye. The industrial revolution took 30 years. The computer revolution took 10. The massive effects of 3d printing AI agents and the transparency effects of VR/AR technology are only just now beginning. I have very little doubt that by 2020 that exponential curve will be approaching vertical. They are pretty much the end for the economy of scarcity.  I don’t expect the collapse to take very long after that point, and the rebuilding will likely take less.





Valkyrie Ice:

Your response to “Basic Income is certain ...” is refreshingly direct and clear.  I love it!  Especially your implication that the consequences of the inevitable Economy of Abundance have hardly been studied.  But I’d very much like to know what details underlie your conclusions.

Are you published anywhere?  Do you have a blog?

—rlsj





http://lifeboat.com/ex/bios.valkyrie.ice

while not totally up to date, that links over 70 odd of my articles on H+ Acceler8or.com, here at IEET and a couple of dead links where ZeroState wiped almost all of my articles when they took over Transhumanity.Net from Hank.

there’s also my blog at http://valkyrieice.blogspot.com/





Beyoncé didn’t just steal the Super Bowl halftime show. She made it a political act.

The unrest in the U.S. is fueled by generations of economically and socially disadvantaged groups, led by growing numbers of achieving members in those groups, and being ignited by media savvy stars among the achieving.

This dynamic is a key component of the turmoil of opportunities for transpolitics. It is key data point in any transhumanist strategy.

It has global relevance because it is a harbinger of what is happening with newly achieving disadvantaged groups in all societies.

Beyond is of special interest because of her global audience and the potential ignition of pockets of fuel across the globe.

“Formation” is “riskier, filthier, angrier, and pulpier” than is typical for Beyoncé. It’s also proudly steeped in black American culture, celebrates black femininity, and is overtly political, with Beyoncé sinking a New Orleans cop car as a little boy in a hoodie dances in front of riot cops.”

“And Bey’s Super Bowl performance followed right in the video’s footsteps. Beyoncé emerged, flanked by black women back-up dancers with fros and Black Panther-adjacent uniforms, and clad in a jacket that echoed another iconic black performer: Michael Jackson, circa 1993.”
http://tinyurl.com/j64jpgs





Hopefully it will be apparent to the moderator how my comment on Beyonce’s Super Bowl performance ties in to Khannea’s article tone and message.





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